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--Barry Asmus

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Showing posts with label food prices. Show all posts
Showing posts with label food prices. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

World News

Egypt
  • In the wake of last week's protests, which forced President Hosni Mubarak out of office, the Egyptian cabinet approved a law yesterday that criminalises strikes, protests, demonstrations, and sit-ins that interrupt private or state owned businesses or affect the economy in any way. Individuals who call for or incite action can be sentenced to up to one year in prison and fined up to half a million pounds. The law has to be approved by the Supreme council of the Armed Forces, and would be in force as long as Egypt is in a state of emergency (currently, 30 years and counting).
European Union
  • The Telegraph is reporting that the European Commission has released plans to create a "single European transport area" intended to create "a profound shift in transport patterns for passengers" by 2050. Goals include getting 50% of all travel over 186 miles to be made by rail, and reducing the number of gasoline and diesel-driven cars and trucks within cities by half by 2031 and to 0 by 2050. Opposition to the plan is already beginning to be heard.
International
Japan
Libya
United States
  • President Obama is preparing a speech in which he will outline his strategy to reach an announced goal of cutting US oil imports by a third over 10 years. The plan is expected to focus on increasing domestic energy production, encouraging the use of more natural gas in public transit, making vehicles more fuel efficient, and encouraging the use of biofuels and other alternative energies.
  • Al Jazeera is reporting an increase in illnesses and deaths along the Gulf Coast due to the chemical dispersants used by BP.

Wednesday, January 5, 2011

Food: More Expensive, Still Not Core

The Food Prices Indices are out from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. The overall Food Price Index climbed 9 bps to a level of 215 in December. Meat[1] climbed 1 bps to 142, dairy[2] remained flat at 208, cereals climbed 15 bps to 238, oils and fats climbed 20 bps to 263, and sugar climbed 25 bps to 398.
Yes, you can accurately think of those increases as the actual average worldwide change in prices. Meat increased 0.01% in December, cereals increased 0.15%, and so forth. It also means that the food price index increased 41 bps (0.41%) in 2010, with meat prices up 22 bps, dairy prices down 8 bps, cereals up 68 bps, oils and fats up 94 bps, and sugar up 22 bps.
JP Morgan's downgrade of Safeway on concerns that rising food costs will eat away at profits seems more and more well-founded.
[1] Weighted average of 3 poultry meat quotes, 4 bovine meat quotes, 2 pig meat quotes, and 1 ovine meat quote.

Tuesday, January 4, 2011

Market Wrap-up

Dow's up 20.43 (0.18%), NASDAQ's down 10.27 (0.38%) and S&P 500's down 1.67 (0.13%). But the news was good! What happened?
Well, your word for the day is "profit taking"[1]. Well, that and Morgan Stanley downgrading Supervalu Inc, because they think rising food costs[2] will grind away profit margins for the company. This idea seemed to take hold, driving down a number of other grocery stores as well (Kroger, Safeway, and Whole Foods, just to name a few). Oh, and commodities were down on profit taking{3], which helped pull down commodity stocks.
PepsiCo's efforts to "snackify" beverages and "drinkify" snacks[4] did not win it any points, as it closed down $0.34.
[1] Yes. The word for the day is two words. Deal with it.
[2] Not part of core inflation.
[3] Word of the day again.
[4] There's a relevant Pulp Fiction quote here. I won't quote it, because I'm trying to stay SFW, but you know what it is.